They're leaving . . . . .how and when, who knows?
Friday 25th -
As we drove from Heathrow to Stratford upon Avon we did not see a lot of Brexit advertising. We had expected to see quite a bit given it was just two days before the Referendum vote. However, most of what we did notice was supporting the leave case. And in the two days we were here before the Vote those supporting the leave case were more public and dare I say it, more aggressive, more emotional and more simplistic with their arguments and how they presented them. A very tempting argument - voters were urged to reclaim the UK's independence, 'make Britain great again'. We also picked up a bit of local resentment regarding 'euro citizens' with reciprocal health care clogging up the medical and dental queues.
On wednesday evening after the polls closed at 10.00pm the TV news was suggesting a stay vote, about 51%. When we checked the news the next morning the leave vote had won! A bit of a surprise to us and an even bigger one for the UK!
The analysis of which groups supported stay and which ones voted to leave is very interesting. Who voted to stay? Younger age groups, more educated groups, a London voters, females voters and a majority of voters in Scotland, Ireland and Wales. Who voted out? 65+ years olds, many labour voters and right wing conservatives.
The lack of support from traditional labour voting areas will most likely cost the labour leader Jeremy Corbyn his job. Labour policy is to remain in the EU and Corbyn was apparently not a great campaigner for the stay case. As you would expect the media is full of analysis. Here's a down to earth view from a favourite Australian journalist for the SMH and Age newspapers.
Now begins the process of separation from the EU. How long will it take to withdraw? It is likely to be quite a drawn out and tortuous process, espcially in the UK.
Now we have a new word for the English language, Bregret. Lots of political repercussions, Cameron gone or going and Corbyn's leadership in tatters. It is going to take a long time, be painfull, difficult and the consequences quite a surprise for many of the leave supporters. The economic impacts in the short term seem moderate and even in the longer term may not have the detrimenal effects predicted by some.
Lastly, some thoughts on government by Referendum. Not a good idea. Not a good idea to promise one, no matter what the issues are. Referendums are no substitute for negotiation and leadership.
Our 30+ Year old female waitress seemed to sum it at at the Golden Cross on Saturday night, she was shocked and unhappy at the result and suggested many who had voted to leave now regretted it because they didn't know it was going to actually affect them!
There are no pics in this blog so here are a couple, out of the blue, to keep the your interest. A couple of Cotswold scenes and two of a Morris 8. The very same car, all black of course, that was L E Tothan's very first car. And some great memories! 😄 👍
And that car!